Lessons for Resilience
Consider a twin-track strategy of containment and shielding
This can help to prevent deaths and stop the number of cases accelerating as suppression measures are eased. The benefits of these measures are:
- Containment measures allow us to reduce suppression measures without the spread of the virus accelerating
- Shielding the vulnerable allows us to reduce the death toll of the virus even if the spread of the virus does accelerate. Older people and people with relevant health conditions would be protected
European countries are starting to ease, but containment and shielding capacity appears limited, risking acceleration of the virus. East Asia has advanced containment capacity and anticipate better testing and tracing capacity and widespread use of masks.
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Europe,
Malaysia,
Indonesia,
Singapore
https://institute.global/policy/sustainable-exit-strategy-managing-uncertainty-minimising-harm
Consider conducting a survey of the well-being of the public during COVID-19
The aim of the survey can be to evaluate well-being and quality of life to assess the possible long-term impacts on health. Consider:
- An online survey on well-being completed now and repeated in a year's time
- Identification of any previous surveys conducted on wellbeing and comparison of the findings
The findings can inform policy development, project prioritisation, and evaluate health-based equality/inequality.
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Iceland
https://www.covid.is/
Consider disseminating free standards that provide frameworks for recovery
Such as ISO22301 'Business continuity management systems' from The British Standards Institution (BSI).
Guidance such as this addresses 'financial, legal, regulatory, environmental, reputational and emotional consequences arising from a risk or actual incident, and the consequences of activities associated with organizational recovery'. It also acknowledges the importance of flexible and scalable recovery in times of uncertainty.
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United Kingdom
https://www.bsigroup.com/en-GB/topics/novel-coronavirus-covid-19/risk-management-and-business-continuity/
Consider documenting local information on how value chains are affected
Additionally, consider where the biggest bottlenecks are, and respond by changing your focus 'as you go'. Use data and feedback loops now to get a market-level perspective that is targeted and can support forecasting for recovery.
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Liberia,
Guinea,
Sierra Leone
https://www.ifc.org/wps/wcm/connect/news_ext_content/ifc_external_corporate_site/news+and+events/news/insights/lessons-ps-ebola-1
Consider establishing specific Community Representation Groups for recovery
These groups should represent the community's views on what recovery should involve. These groups should feed views and concerns into the government's Recovery Group. It is important to consider participant fatigue when collecting community data about recovery needs.
Reference: Chief Resilience Officer, USA
Consider how information systems can help process delivery, avoid delivery bottlenecks to provide timely and relevant information
In Korea, The Cellular Broadcasting Service enables government agencies to transmit text messages to cell phones through mobile telecom carriers in Korea. This service is particularly useful during an emergency but also builds resilience into the system for the future.
Metropolitan and local governments in Korea are equipped with a system that can send messages to their residents without having to receive approval from the Ministry of the Interior and Safety (MOIS). This allows them to make their own locally relevant decisions.
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Korea, Democratic Peoples Republic of
https://extranet.who.int/goarn/flattening-curve-covid-19-how-korea-responded-pandemic-using-ict-information-communication
Consider how reductions in pollution can be nurtured
Delhi, Mumbai and Calcutta have seen reduction in Nitrogen oxides (NOx) and Sulphur oxides (SOx). Bird species are recovering and animals are reclaiming roads and beaches. Rainfall patterns also appear to be changing. Consider the impact on the environment when production and supply chains recover.
Reference: Government of India representative
Consider how stigma can develop after a person has been released from COVID-19 quarantine or treatment
It is critical that governments and civil society proactively combat stigma and discrimination through regular and transparent communication on the transmission of the virus and other aspects of the pandemic, cautioning against laying blame or accusations against any group of people.
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Viet Nam,
Indonesia,
Thailand
https://www.undrr.org/publication/undrr-asia-pacific-covid-19-brief-leave-no-one-behind-covid-19-prevention-response-and
Consider how to manage cities as "people magnets" in light of recovery and a new normal
This can include:
- Don't forget the basics. Urban design should facilitate certain behaviours and feelings, and shape a built environment that creates value (economic, social, environmental, health, individual, safety)
- Consider redefining what we mean by Place+Making. Ultimately, places are a socially constructed phenomena so can the definition of place be broadened i.e. virtual spaces (Milan brought museums and art galleries online, working from home).
- Consider how urban spaces can perpetuate inequities i.e. accessibility, affordability, and how basic needs can be met.
- Learn from inequalities that arise to tackle social issues such as loneliness, discrimination etc.
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Global
https://newcities.org/the-big-picture-open-letter-to-citymakers-10-key-implications-of-the-covid-19/
Consider how to retain the motivation of volunteers who have not been tasked.
In the UK, the NHS Volunteer Responder scheme had 750,000 registrations but many have not received any task. Untasked volunteers could become disillusioned, lowering motivation and encouraging them to opt out of the scheme. It may undermine their wellbeing as they question their contribution to the crisis response. It may lead to reputational challenges for the tasking organisation, and stop volunteers from registering for future initiatives. If there is spare capacity of volunteers, careful thought is needed to:
- Communicate with, and address the motivation of, volunteers who have not been tasked
- Identify a wider range of tasks that volunteers may be able to support
- Identify a wider range of beneficiaries who need support (e.g. public services)
Reference: Prof Duncan Shaw, University of Manchester, UK
Consider how to work with all sectors at multiple levels
To ensure that statements and information given to the public are consistent, while recognising some regional differences in content. Consider a communication strategy that clearly lays out:
- What will be said
- To whom will it be said
- Who will say it
Consider what existing relationships the news outlets have with organisations and the public and how the media can become a welcomed partner in communications strategies.
Reference: Emergency Planner, Canada
Consider identifying those most vulnerable and gauge how vulnerability might be increased by another emergency
This includes elderly, those with pre-existing health conditions, migrants and homeless. Consult with organisations representing these groups to develop understanding of how they might be affected by complex emergencies and what measures could be taken. (UN -75 People's consultations established for this). For example, in the UK some LRFs are considering how to evacuate during lockdowns or social distancing.
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UNDRR,
Global
https://www.undrr.org/publication/undrr-asia-pacific-covid-19-brief-combating-dual-challenges-climate-related-disasters
Consider increasing the capacity of telephone helplines
Including those who advise on/support financial issues, relationships, bereavement and mental health. Helplines in Iceland have seen a tripling in the number of callers and report that calls are becoming longer and more difficult.
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Iceland
https://www.covid.is/english
Consider investment in clean energy
Investment that considers sustainability to support the 'green agenda' and to continue reduction seen in Co2 emissions as a result of COVID-19.
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Jamaica,
Saint Lucia,
Barbados
http://newenergyevents.com/coronavirus-the-caribbean-is-the-first-domino-to-fall-but-there-is-hope/
Consider local economic strategies that account for seasonal impacts and other fluctuations to businesses
This may include farming and fishing sectors, tourism, conferences or industries affected by weather conditions i.e. the slowing down of construction in harsh weather. Fluctuations that were traditionally short-term may now have long-term challenges. Preparation should be made to manage change in expenses and revenues beyond the season.
Reference: Emergency Planner, Canada
Consider making use of regular rapid Impact Assessments
Consider not using tents as temporary hospital ward solutions
As tents do not provide long-term solution to surges in patients and are no suitable for longer periods of disease in winter. Instead develop "shadow" or auxiliary hospital wards as a spatial reserve for disasters and pandemics. Auxiliary wards would build resilience into the healthcare system for pandemics.
Reference: Expert in Civil Contingency, Germany
Consider opening schools first as children are at very low risk and the economic and education costs of school closures are high
Also consider that experts within education have stated that social distancing within schools will not be possible at primary or secondary level.
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United Kingdom
https://institute.global/policy/sustainable-exit-strategy-managing-uncertainty-minimising-harm
Consider psychological support for staff working or being drafted in to work at the frontline
Material for those supporting frontline workers has been developed using the latest evidence and drawing on expertise from across the world.
One-page resources are available on issues including: readiness, team dynamics, decision making, leadership, post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), resilience. This resource is continually being added to.
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United Kingdom
https://www.supporttheworkers.org/
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United Kingdom
https://covid19.aischannel.com/support-hcps
Consider reviewing just-in-time (JIT) manufacturing models
Additionally, carefully consider inventory levels at every step in the supply chain. Modern supply chain and preferred supplier practices have struggled to ensure reliable and durable supply of masks and ventilators at the scale needed in this pandemic. When a (global) pandemic strikes this can remove the supplier and therefore the products from the market. Develop supply chain resilience through the use of several strategic suppliers rather than seeking exclusive supply from single manufacturers at low price points.
Reference: UK county Council, NHS Emergency Planner and an expert in Civil Contingency, Germany
Consider targeted volunteer recruitment maps. Insights from the UK
Managing the quick and safe connection of volunteers to local communities and local services is a key issues in supporting response and recovery. In Sheffield, UK the development of targeted volunteer recruitment maps1 which flag up community hubs, describe roles and responsibilities in community hubs in the city and the local authority have proven to be central in building credible connections2.
The results of these efforts can be developed into a community action plan that encourages a city-wide approach to sharing resources, connecting communities and successfully utilising the voluntary sector.
This highlights the importance of the voluntary sector and the role volunteerism has played in response and the role it can play in recovery. This provides opportunities to bring the volunteering agenda into the fore for future emergencies to support resilience.
1 The Sheffield COVID Support map is made by Martin Fox - Sheffield Data for Good in collaboration with Voluntary Action Sheffield and in conversation with Louis Koseda - Foodhall.
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United Kingdom
https://www.vas.org.uk/what-we-do/covid19/
Consider tax alleviations and financial support to help people recover financially
Consider the impacts on the environment and people's safety when reopening green spaces. Insights from Canada
It is important to consider the impacts on both the environment and people's health and safety when restrictions on movements to national parks, beaches and beauty spots are lifted during recovery. The issue is twofold. Firstly, there are health and safety risks associated with lifting restrictions on access to outdoor spaces. An influx of visitors to national parks and beaches could result in a rise in emergency situations such a person being pulled out to sea or lost on mountains.
Consideration should be given to the possible increased need for, and pressure on, mountain rescue and coast guard services. This draws attention to the need for visitor management, inclusive of carparks at nature sites where social distancing is difficult.
Secondly, many countries are seeing wildlife flourishing, whether this is the return of birds or animals, or the rewilding of green spaces. Lifting restrictions could place extreme pressures on the environment due to the influx of human visitors and may lead to the destruction of habitats. Consideration should be given to working closely with conservation experts and educators to inform governments and the public about how to protect and enjoy these spaces, and to encourage ownership of the conservation process.
Reference: Emergency Planner, Canada
Consider the mental health of all people and the possible new demands this has on the health service
Consider the phased return of businesses
By considering what should open first, what should open last and the PPE requirements of business recovery. Commuting patterns should be considered.
Reference: Chief Resilience Officer, USA and the link below
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United States of America
https://read.oecd-ilibrary.org/view/?ref=126_126769-yen45847kf&title=Coronavirus-COVID-19-Cities-Policy-Responses
Consider the production of simple documents in multiple languages to provide a one-stop-shop for all information
Consider the strength of communities in their broadest sense from small groups of friends to the more formal community groups
Consider training all staff about the risks of each technology application they use
Software and cyber experts can only do so much. Informed workers remain the best line of defence, and can ensure the resilience and safety of technical systems for recovery.
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UNDRR,
Global
https://www.undrr.org/publication/cybersecurity-and-its-cascading-effect-societal-systems
Consider WHO advice on six conditions for ending a covid-19 lockdown
Lockdown as to be replaced by something and must ensure there is a well-informed and committed populations that will adapt and adhere to changes to lockdown policy. WHO suggests:
- Disease transmission is under control
- Health systems are able to "detect, test, isolate and treat every case and trace every contact"
- Hot spot risks are minimized in vulnerable places, such as nursing homes
- Schools, workplaces and other essential places have established preventive measures
- The risk of importing new cases "can be managed"
- Communities are fully educated, engaged and empowered to live under a new normal
A framework to conduct impact assessments for recovery planning
Using the UK Government's National Recovery Guidance and Emergency Response and Recovery Guidance, and international lessons from pandemic response and recovery, we have developed an initial framework to assess the impact of COVID-19 and consider what dimensions recovery may need to address. This provides the structure to document national/international early recovery lessons for COVID-19 that we summarise in The Manchester Briefing.
Follow the source link to read this framework in full (p.13).
Consider a 24/7 information line on Coronavirus
Consider adapting to a new work culture and build resilience
Consider the following for recovery in your workplace:
- Establish a business response and continuity office
- Confirm critical roles and backup plans
- Evaluate the actual work of your company and how it might be changed
- Understand what work is mission-critical and what can be deferred or deprioritized
- Prepare your worksite for containment and contamination
- Update travel and meeting protocols
- Review your social media policy and guidelines
- Consider the sources of 'news' and information in the workplace
Consider bringing infrastructure development projects forward
Consider building in a reserve budget in anticipation of additional shocks and stressors
Consider compensating freelance workers for lost payments
Consider creating additional care facilities to create capacity and support hospital discharge
Consider establishing exercises and training that will equip responders to deal with cascading disasters and multiple emergencies
Consider evacuation planning, including prepositioning resources to evacuation centres and how to evacuate people during COVID-19
Consider how to maintain two-metre distance and how to minimise time spent in evacuation centres. Consider working with the military to mobilise responders for emergencies that require international effort in a time where commercial flights are cancelled due to COVID-19.
Reference: Red Cross and UN Office for Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs
Consider evaluating your economic models. For example, the 'doughnut model', adopted in Amsterdam
This shifts from supply and demand models to one that drives health and well-being. It does this by:
- Setting out the minimum we need to lead a good life, derived from the UN's sustainable development goals (i.e. food and clean water to a certain level of housing, sanitation, energy, education, healthcare, gender equality, income and political voice)
- Considering the ecological ceiling drawn up by earth-system scientists (i.e. avoiding damaging the climate, soils, oceans, the ozone layer, freshwater and abundant biodiversity)
- Considering where everyone's needs and that of the planet are being met
Consider expanding the boundaries of testing essential workers
This should include people who are part of the wider working society e.g. municipal waste workers, those involved in food production and distribution, as well as the more obvious workers (health related and response). This would support both the reopening of key services and the economy.
Reference: Chief Resilience Officer, USA
Consider how emergent community-led action was the initial response in the early days of COVID-19
These groups (including the Facebook groups) rapidly led the humanitarian aid to vulnerable people when (they may perceive) no-one else was present. They may now be feeling pushed out by 'officials' who now are taking a leading role in their communities which can mean their reason for existing is being taken over by authorities.
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United Kingdom
https://angelafell1.wixsite.com/website/post/hungry-hippos
Consider how empty, habitable buildings can be designated to house vulnerable people who need to isolate
Consider how first responders can develop a 'code compliant, agile public safety office'
Consider how to engage with specific groups that can advise on vulnerability issues
Consider how to ensure that COVID-19 health-related interventions do not detract from other types of critical health services
Including care for persons living with disabilities or ante-natal care. The potential negative impacts of COVID-19 prevention and treatment actions need to be considered in decision-making so that vulnerable groups are not doubly affected by both the hazard and the response.
Consider how to protect education facilities, staff and students from the impact of the virus
Consider how volunteers can be utilised to repurpose planned events
Consider immediate implementation of widespread psychosocial interventions and consider the needs of different groups
For example: age, gender, and race. In the UK of 2,250 adults surveyed 49% said they had felt more anxious and depressed than normal, 38% said they were having trouble sleeping and, 22% said they were concerned about significant money problems. If current measures are to persist, these figures are likely to rise.
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United Kingdom
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/amp/uk-52228169
Consider increased investment in cyber security and prioritise spending on cyber protection
Consider investment into clean energy that considers sustainability
COVID-19 has challenged traditional systems and required innovative thinking about how to recover. In the Caribbean consideration is being given to harnessing the power of renewable energies.
The Caribbean is vulnerable to a number of natural disasters and so too is its energy infrastructure. COVID-19 has raised questions about the resilience of energy infrastructure if a disaster such as a cyclone were to hit the region during the pandemic and the cascading impacts of this on critical services and well-being. Renewable energy systems are capable of surviving many types of natural disaster and would provide some protection in the case of an additional emergency during the COVID-19 pandemic[3].
In addition, the wider benefits of renewable energy have been considered for recovery in the Caribbean. The benefits include lower costs of energy, more stable energy provision, and increased independence through diversified and local energy sources which would boost the economy and help develop equitable access to power.
[3] Energy news: http://newenergyevents.com/coronavirus-the-caribbean-is-the-first-domino-to-fall-but-there-is-hope/
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Antigua and Barbuda,
Dominican Republic,
Saint Lucia
http://newenergyevents.com/coronavirus-the-caribbean-is-the-first-domino-to-fall-but-there-is-hope/